Implied Probability: Turning Betting Odds Into Percentages
Every price hides a percentage. How to convert decimal, fractional and American odds into implied probability, and why the numbers add up to more than 100.
Sports Betting3 min
Section · 11
Sports Betting
Bet types and market formats taken one at a time, with invented prices so the mechanics stay clear. A line is an estimate, never a forecast.
Stream Delay and Live Betting: Why the Screen Runs Behind the Odds
The market suspends, then the goal appears on your TV. What causes broadcast delay, how it shapes in-play betting and what you can do about it at home.
Sports Betting5 min
Golden Boot Betting: How Top Goalscorer Markets Work
A season-long bet on the leading scorer. Which goals count, how dead-heat rules split a tie, and why the trophy and the betting slip can disagree.
Football4 min
What Counts as a Shot on Target? Football Stats and Shot Markets
Saved, blocked, off the post or wide: only some attempts count as on target. The definition, the borderline cases and how shot markets settle.
Football4 min
Booking Points Betting: How Football Card Markets Are Counted
Ten for a yellow, 25 for a red, never more than 35 for one player. How booking points are added up, what is left out and which card markets exist.
Football4 min
What Does Agg Mean in Soccer? Aggregate Scores, Extra Time and Away Goals
Agg is short for aggregate, the combined score of a two-legged tie. What it means for who goes through, and for which bets count extra time.
Football4 min
What Is a Clean Sheet in Soccer? Meaning, Credit and Betting Markets
A clean sheet simply means conceding nothing. Here is who gets the credit, which goals count against it and how the related betting markets are graded.
Football5 min
What Is a Futures Bet?
Futures are bets on outcomes decided far in the future, from league champions to season awards. Here is how outright prices work and what the long wait costs you.
Sports Betting4 min
What Is a Betting Exchange and How Is It Different from a Bookmaker?
A betting exchange matches one bettor's opinion against another's and charges commission on winnings. Here is how backing and laying work, and where the risks sit.
Sports Betting4 min
What Is a Point Spread? Reading the Line Before Kick-off
The point spread evens out a lopsided game by giving the weaker side a head start. Here is how to read the numbers, what the price means and when a bet pushes.
Sports Betting4 min
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